Kenya faces tricky path afterwards 'historic' ruling - analysts


A conclusion past times Kenya's Supreme Court to annul the results of in conclusion month's presidential election was hailed Fri past times analysts every bit "historic" as well as "an illustration for the residue of the world".

However, they warned that the lx days inside which a novel election must locomote held volition pick out tension as well as anxiety, as well as the restraint of leaders as well as credibility of the novel election volition locomote paramount.

- A 'historic decision' -

On Friday, Kenya's Supreme Court rendered a daze ruling cancelling the results of the August 8 election over widespread irregularities.

Chief Justice David Maraga said a bulk conclusion past times the panel of 7 judges, alongside 2 dissenting, institute that President Uhuru Kenyatta "was non validly elected", rendering the final result "invalid, aught as well as void".

Veteran opposition leader Raila Odinga as well as his National Super Alliance (NASA) had taken the illustration to court, claiming the organization transmitting votes had been hacked, as well as that forms from polling stations that were meant to dorsum upward the electronic results were non beingness uploaded.

"It is a historic decision, the outset of its variety inwards Africa," Murithi Mutiga, a Nairobi-based senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, said.

Mutiga said the ruling "means Kenya, i of the most opened upward societies inwards Africa, is gradually maturing every bit a democracy".

The "opposition tin at nowadays become to courtroom as well as facial expression to locomote served alongside justice", he added.

According to Nic Cheeseman, a professor inwards African politics at the University of Birmingham, many observers expected a "conservative" ruling -- similar to the conclusion inwards 2013 where Odinga took his grievances to courtroom but eventually lost.

In a statement, Justus Nyang'aya, soil manager for Amnesty International Kenya, said the conclusion "demonstrates the independence of Kenya's judiciary as well as sets an illustration for the residue of the world".

But piece the ruling "upholds the constitution" adopted inwards 2010, "it volition seat a lot of inquiry marks on the international observers, who take away maintain massively said the election solar daytime went well," an African diplomat told AFP on status of anonymity.

- The unknown -

In the bulk decision, Maraga said the election committee (IEBC) had been responsible for "irregularities as well as illegalities" which "affected the integrity of the election".

But until the court's total ruling is released, it is unclear what the sentence is based on.

"They've made i of the most of import decisions inwards Kenyan history," Cheeseman said, "and it's going to locomote 21 days earlier nosotros uncovering out why".

Analysts bemoaned the wait, adding that the court's terminal contestation volition probable influence the adjacent vote as well as the people who volition locomote inwards accuse of carrying it out.

"The argue why this election was non good run was because the IEBC had then lilliputian fourth dimension to run it," Cheeseman said, noting that novel election commissioners were named a mere 7 months earlier the August poll.

"And then at nowadays you lot take away maintain less time".

For his part, the anonymous African diplomat said Republic of Kenya could run into a rush of other dissatisfied candidates who lost out inwards governor, senator or MP races plough to the courtroom alongside election grievances next the ruling.

- 'Show roughly maturity' -

"A lot of people volition locomote nervous," Cheeseman said. "Kenya but had a hard as well as controversial election, as well as this conclusion pushes it correct dorsum into roughly other electoral campaign, which volition laid about well-nigh immediately".

"The trial of the adjacent election may locomote controversial again".

This is why "the reaction of the political leaders volition locomote extremely critical inwards the adjacent 2 months," Mutiga said.

"There volition locomote anxiety, at that topographic point volition locomote uncertainty, but political leaders involve to present roughly maturity as well as brand sure as shooting that they don't ruin what inwards my thought is a remarkably of import footstep for Kenya's democracy".

Mutiga added notwithstanding that "restraint volition locomote hard inwards this rattling polarised environment" -- which was also stark before, during as well as afterwards the August vote due to deep ethnic, economical as well as political divisions inwards Kenya.

On Friday, Amnesty International urged "all parties to comply alongside the judgement," calling "on the police trace to uncovering restraint inwards their treatment of whatever celebrations or protests" that may follow.

The August xi announcement of Kenyatta's victory alongside 54.27 percentage of the vote -- alongside non all the tallying forms inwards -- sparked 2 days of protests inwards the slums of Nairobi as well as Kisumu, traditional opposition strongholds.

At to the lowest degree 21 people, including a infant as well as a nine-year-old girl, were killed, generally past times police, according to an AFP tally.

AFP

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